Hey all — I’m Matt Shigella in-game. I’ve been working with EVE market and industry data as I sharpen my Python and Excel skills, mostly through custom spreadsheets and API queries. I’ve been meaning to dive into EVE Guru, but I’ve been Team Mac since 2006 (college days!), and my current setup hasn’t been holding its “liquor” (Homebrew and Wine, that is). I’m planning to spend some time this weekend getting that sorted.
I run Auric Quanta Strategies, an analytics-forward consultancy focused on the EVE economy. I blend data science, market intuition, and in-game context to help industrialists and station traders make smarter decisions around production, logistics, and investment. It’s a lean operation—but a serious one. I’m here to ask sharp questions, surface overlooked insights, and contribute meaningfully to the conversation around EVE’s economic meta.
My latest post is a free weekly trend analysis. This week, I dive into how the Goons vs. Horde war is impacting the hulls market, focusing on five ship types with the heaviest numerical losses in the June 4th battle. Thought it might be especially relevant to folks here who use EVE Guru and work in trade or industry.
I’ll be cross-posting my weekly reports here, and hopefully by next week I’ll be fully up and running on EVE Guru. Looking forward to digging into the data with everyone.
Gird your loins, the Goons and Horde are back at it!
At least two recent battles have resulted in the Goons destroying the Horde fleet, so for this week’s free Market Report, I am going to focus on the five ship types that had 40 or more losses in the June 04, 2025 battle in N3-JBX.
Market Scope
Commodities – Ships with 40+ losses on 04 June 2025 in N3-JBX allied with Goons and Horde:
- Ferox
- Ferox Navy
- Harpy
- Rokh
- Tempest Fleet
- Vulture
Sample Market – The Forge
Timeframe – 01 May to 04 June 2025 23:30 USTZ EST
Trends
As you can see here, the Ferox Navy is really the most interesting trend line. While the Bid/Buy market remained stable over time, the Ask/Sell market spiked, causing the spread % to 30D average spread to rise dramatically.
As you can see, there was a steep crash in Ferox Navy volume when the Goons dropped their Fortizar on the Horde’s Keepstar grid (24 May 2025). Given that both sides lost a total of 187 ships of this type in the 04 June battle, this was clearly the lead up to war being declared, but also in preparation for the massive scale battles that were ahead.
Analysis
- Ferox Navy is an affordable faction battlecruiser that is heavy hitting but also enough of a tank that it can survive long enough on the battlefield to do lasting damage to the other side. Therefore, it is a strong choice for industrialists to manufacture, which the volume before the incident suggests: more availability = cheaper = more likely to not be too devastated financially when things go south. Given the Horde’s alleged, at least in the past, penchant for frugality and its large loss of Rokhs in the 03 June Battle, the emphasis on cost effectiveness drives at least some of the effect on the spike in prices.
- Given that the sell volume is recovering, industrialists have picked up on the market but they have to be careful of driving prices down due to market saturation.
Recommendations
- Industrialists – Keep producing but don’t overstretch your capabilities and oversaturate the market, small batches of Ferox Navies will keep the money flowing and won’t cause steep declines in profit. If you aren’t already invested in Ferox Navy production, I don’t see an opening here for you.
- Station Traders – If you are allied with either, you can go ahead and manipulate the market to your team’s advantage, but be warned there could be losses should the volume trends reverse and the price drops. If you don’t care and want to make them both suffer, start buying up ships in bulk and then flipping to make a nice profit.
- Further Actions – Keep your eye on the Rokh hull. As of 15:15 on 05 June US EST there has no battle between the two, but with the downtime, this allows manufacturers to really make a dent in that market considering Horde’s extensive use of them, but check both ask/sell and bid/buy volumes before doing anything.
Let me know down below what your thoughts are on this latest escalation and if this post was helpful.
This is a free and weekly sample of a T1 Market Trend Report. For more info on what I can offer you, check out my Services page.
If you need more in-depth information on the hulls shown here, then feel free to contact me either in game at ‘Matt Shigella’, or online @godislobster on Discord or email me at mattshigella@gmail.com and we can talk about how I can get you the info you need.
Sources
Background Information
Reddit – r/Eve
Market Data and Code Framework
EveTools – 04 June 2025, 03 June 2025
Python
- matlibplot.pyplot, pandas
Jupyter Labs
Anaconda Distribution
Always curious to hear how others are seeing the current market climate — especially if you’ve noticed anything my take missed.
